A month to go, folks! Just one more month… If it sounds like we’re urging on our favorite sweaty runner in the Boston Marathon it’s only because this election seems longer than most. From the announcement last June that Donald Trump was going to make a run for the roses to Sunday’s wholly uncomfortable debate, it has been a slog. Americans all over the country are taking an extra shower to get the grimy feeling off their bodies. This isn’t the way we run an election! It is now. And around the world others are noticing.
Does Gildshire exaggerate? Maybe sometimes. But not this time. Check out the campaign coverage from overseas. From London. From Paris. From Tel Aviv.
Cue Lee Greenwood. “I’m proud to be an American…”
But together we will get through it. And, after it’s all over, the government transition will commence and power will be transferred without anyone’s political rival being jailed or beheaded.
At least, we hope so.
Today we answer some of the questions we’re asked by those who read what we have to say. Gildshire appreciates each and everyone who participates with us in our Mall of Magazines.
Is Hillary Clinton Still Ahead? Last time we were asked this question we said “yes.” But then we dithered a bit because of favorable/unfavorable ratings and a volatile polling cycle. Not today. Mrs. Clinton holds a lead of between five and eight points. Even the Rasmussen Group, always the last polling group to the Democratic Party, gives Mrs. Clinton a strong advantage. The only major poll in which there is some doubt is the Washington Post poll. While Mr. Trump is 17 points away from 270 Electoral College votes in that poll, Mrs. Clinton is only at 272. If neither gets to 270, hoo boy. We don’t even want to talk about that today.
Did the Obscene Access Hollywood Tape make That Big of a Difference? Oh, you heard about that. It did make a difference, but not as big a difference as some folks think. When the election comes close, people tend to return home. Democrats who talked about fleeing when Bernie wasn’t the nominee, tend to return to the Democratic Party. Republicans who have flirted with a third-party nominee out of disgust for Trump, tend to return to the GOP. This is the case in every election. Mr. Trump’s tacit admission of indecent behavior toward women hurt him. There is no doubt about that! But the stragglers were already headed home. Now they’re going home faster. Something bad may be looming behind them.
What Could Change Between Now and the Election? Well, there is one more debate. But what can these two say about each other that hasn’t already been said? Mr. Trump doesn’t like the current state of American trade deals, the Affordable Care Act, and immigrants. Mrs. Clinton largely ignores Mr. Trump on trade deals, likes the Affordable Care Act, albeit with ideas to make it better, and respects immigrants. We get it. Mr. Trump needs a Hail Mary. Mrs. Clinton needs to run out the clock.
I’ve Heard There May Be More Tapes in Which Trump Disrespects Women. Will That Make a Difference? How could it? The people who were appalled by the first tape won’t vote for him. The people who were determined to vote for him anyway, still plan to do so. What could possibly be revealed that will change anyone’s mind? Gildshire can’t imagine what he could have done or said that would make anyone say, “Oh gosh. The first one wasn’t that big of a deal, but this one makes me change my vote.”
Aren’t There Always the Undecideds? We guess. But did you hear the questions posed by “undecided” during Sunday’s debate? Those people were as undecided as Gildshire is when the choice is ice cream or kohlrabi. We put the actual percentage of undecided voters at less than 2.5%. Since they won’t all fall one direction, their power to sway the election is slight at best.
That’s what the road ahead looks like at the 30-day mark. We’ll be back in ten days for another look around. Until then, stay hydrated and pace yourself for the end of the marathon. We can almost see the finish line.
Photo: doddis77 / Shutterstock